David Hipkin, Co-founder of SharpBetting.co.uk, explains why David's Daily +EV football betting previews are now available for free, and updated daily, on the site here. All the SharpBetting videos are available here or go to our YouTube channel here.
Video Transcript
Chris
Hi David, I saw that tweet you put out the weekend about David's daily football bets. So what exactly is that?
David
I decided to start writing up a daily article for free on the website that highlights some of the value that we found in that system in a as digestible way as possible.
Yeah. So, on SharpBetting, we've been talking a lot recently about the football system that we've been using and that we're making it public. So I decided to start writing up a daily article for free on the website that highlights some of the value that we found in that system in a as digestible way as possible, a simple short form article. Yeah, where there's value to be had in the, in the betting markets.
Chris
Yes, that's interesting. So how do you make the actual picks? How do you decide which match to write about?
David
Yeah, so I'm not going to claim to be the world's leading football expert, but what I do have is exposure to an incredibly powerful system. So on a daily basis, I see all the bets coming through with the best value. I'm fortunate enough that I can pick from that list of value the bets that I think are the most interesting for that day to talk about so it's a combination of objective value from the SharpBetting football system and a little bit of subjectivity um from me so um what I will do is let's say Obviously, there might be value in a match that is in a league that no one's interested in. So I might pick a slightly lesser value because it's a more interesting league.
It's a combination of taking the value that I see from the system with my own feeling about what would be a good bet to write about on the day.
They're all going to be positive EV, good value bets. But what I'll also try and do is find a match where there's a value in the 1X2, the BTTS and the goal line perhaps. So for instance, in August, there was an away win, there was a BTTS no, and there was an over three and a half goals. So I went to the correct score market and I backed away win four nil and five nil, at eleven to one, sixteen to one, great fun bets. and they happen to come in, which is great. So that's how I do it. It's a combination of taking the value that I see from the system with my own feeling about what would be a good bet to write about on the day.
Chris
Right. Yeah, that's cool. So in terms of like, so I understand you've been doing it to a limited audience for the last week or two. So how's that been going so far? What kind of results have you had?
David
Yeah, I don't really, I'm a bit nervous to say because it's been, extraordinarily good. So it's two weeks worth. I've done fifty bets. I did fifty bets in two weeks. The ROI is in very healthy double figure. Return on investment is very high double figures percentage. So I think when I put it public in September inevitably we're going to hit a bit of a plateau to bring the ROI down to something a bit more sane.
In terms of If anyone's watching this and they understand how to assess a data set, we do p-value analysis on it to determine whether the results are from skill or from chance. And the p-value right now is down at less than point zero one. But it's only from fifty bets. But still, yes, the results have been extraordinary. And also what I do is I track the results for stakes of five to ten pounds. So it's not crazy, unrealistic numbers here. They're skilled, profitable bets, but they're recreational stakes as well.
After two weeks of betting on the system for an average stake of five pounds, I'm about two hundred pounds in profit.
So long story short, I think after two weeks of betting on the system for an average stake of five pounds, I'm about two hundred pounds in profit. So it's not crazy money, but it's incredible return given the stakes I'm doing.
Chris
Absolutely. So you'd expect that to level off with the variance over time?
David
That's right. And there's articles on the site I talk about. I've done a diary of using the system where I made £8,000 in three months and from a standing start and variance is a factor. Like, you know, you never want to hear someone talk about positive EV betting and they not, they've not mentioned variants.
So, but the way, know with the way I'm doing it and even there's another article on the site when it's when it talks about starting with a one pound stake and doing it for a few months until you've built up your own bank and then you bet with the house's money and increase your stake slowly so there's all that sort of thing so so what I've tried to do is achieve a balance of um enough of a stake that I'm kind of excited to report on it but not a crazy stake that I'm too stressed about going on us on a bad run due to variance you know it's kind of what I'm trying to do is like a cup of coffee a day sort of budget in terms of my staking. And that seems pretty sensible for this trial.
Chris
Excellent. So how can people access your articles?
David
Yeah, so just every day, same link would be on the homepage, David's Daily. And yeah, if you just refresh every day, you'll get the latest. I'm going to try and do one a day. Sometimes it might be a couple of days. Sometimes I might go a bit quiet for a few days, but on average, there will always be something on that page. Um, and yeah, I'm going to go, you know, on average, we'll put out around thirty bets a month.
So you get a good feel for the sort of the variety. Um, and then ultimately, um, down the line soon after that, you'll actually be able to log into the system for free and see more of the value that I'm getting access to. So, yeah, this is just sort of the first thing, the first chance we're getting to sort of share some of this value on the website.
Chris
Excellent. Thanks, Dave. That's cool.
David
All right. Chat soon.
