This article provides a recap for the month of April 2025. All of these betting suggestions were published in David's Daily football previews. Check out the performance of David's full football betting history here.
The graph shows monthly progress based on a Maximum Sharp-Stake of (£) 10.
____________________
2025-04-24: Thursday
A few more singles and another double for Thursday too...
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds | Result |
| 24/04 17:00 | Nardo v Kristiansund | BTTS Yes | 2.40 | Win |
| 24/04 17:00 | Gamle Oslo v Sarpsborg 08 | BTTS Yes | 2.25 | Win |
| 24/04 17:00 | PaddyPower | The double | 5.40 | Win |
Bet: BTTS Yes
Odds Available: 2.4
17:00: There's a noteworthy betting opportunity here with PaddyPower. Their odds of 2.4 for BTTS Yes in the Nardo v Kristiansund game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 7:59, 24/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS Yes
Odds Available: 2.25
17:00: Have to consider the PaddyPower odds of 2.25 for BTTS Yes in the Gamle Oslo v Sarpsborg 08 game. (posted at: 7:59, 24/4)
Result: Win
Bet: The double
Odds Available: 5.4
The double pays 5.4 (2.4 x 2.25) with these PaddyPower decimal odds so we will be hoping for goals at both ends of the park in these two games in the Norwegian Cup.
Result: Win
____________________
2025-04-23: Wednesday
Some singles and a double for Wednesday afternoon... (updated at: 7:55, 23/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds | Result |
| 23/04 17:00 | Zilina v Kosice | BTTS No | 2.45 | Win |
| 23/04 17:15 | Al Kholood v Al Okhdood | BTTS No | 2.30 | Win |
| 23/04 17:15 | BetVictor | The double | 5.64 | Win |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.45
17:00: BetVictor's odds of 2.45 for BTTS No in the Zilina v Kosice match is a bet for us. (posted at: 7:55, 23/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.3
17:15: The 43.5% chance suggested by BetVictor for the BTTS No seems too low here. Al Kholood v Al Okhdood is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.3 is the bet. (posted at: 7:55, 23/4)
Result: Win
Bet: The double
Odds Available: 5.64
This double pays 5.64 (2.45 x 2.3) in decimal odds is we put these two selections together.
Result: Win
____________________
2025-04-22: Tuesday
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 22/04 20:30 | Barcelona v Mallorca | 1X2 Barcelona to win | 1.30 |
Bet: 1X2 Barcelona to win
Odds Available: 1.3
20:30: The BetVictor odds of 1.3 for 1X2 Barcelona to beat Mallorca will pay dividends in the long-run. They have been drifting all day but we still like them at anything above 1.26 in this match. (posted at: 20:00, 22/4)
Result: Win
- We don't often pick a 1.3 shot, but when we do, these are the types of stats we like to see!
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 22/04 16:30 | SJK Akatemia v TPS | BTTS No | 2.55 |
| 22/04 17:00 | Al-Sadd v Al Ahli Doha | BTTS No | 2.40 |
| 22/04 17:30 | Esbjerg v Fredericia | BTTS No | 2.40 |
| 22/04 17:30 | PaddyPower | The 1st double | 6.12 |
| 22/04 17:30 | PaddyPower | The 2nd double | 6.12 |
| 22/04 17:30 | PaddyPower | The 3rd double | 5.76 |
| 22/04 17:30 | PaddyPower | The treble | 14.69 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.55
16:30: Could be worse bets out there than the odds of 2.55 for BTTS No in the SJK Akatemia v TPS match. This is with PaddyPower. (posted at: 11:28, 22/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.4
17:00: One also has to consider the PaddyPower odds of 2.4 for BTTS No in the Al-Sadd v Al Ahli Doha fixture. (posted at: 11:28, 22/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.4
17:30: In terms of long-term value, it also makes sense to back the PaddyPower odds of 2.4 for BTTS No in this Esbjerg v Fredericia game. (posted at: 11:28, 22/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Three doubles
Odds Available: 6.12, 6.12 and 5.76
A patent is three singles, three doubles and a treble. Why not compound the value with these three... Putting the first two games into a double pays 6.12 (2.55 x 2.4) in decimal odds; games 1 and 3 will give us 6.12 (2.55 x 2.4) and games 2 and 3 are worth 5.76 (2.4 x 2.4) in a double.
Result: Loss, Loss, Win
Bet: The treble
Odds Available: 14.69
It will take about 3 hours for these three games to unfold. We would add them to another acca. We get an unlikely-sounding 14.69 decimal odds (2.55 x 2.4 x 2.4) if the treble lands.
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-20: Sunday
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 20/04 10:30 | Sparta Prague W v Slavia Prague W | 1X2 Sparta Prague W to win | 2.40 |
| 20/04 10:30 | Sparta Prague W v Slavia Prague W | Over 3.5 goals | 1.95 |
| 20/04 16:00 | Pontevedra v Laredo | BTTS Yes | 3.10 |
| 20/04 16:10 | Hibernian W v Rangers W | Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 |
Bet: 1X2 Sparta Prague W to win
Odds Available: 2.4
10:30: The SharpBetting algo has this at greater than the 41.7% implied probability with BetfairSB. Decimal odds of 2.4 for 1X2 Sparta Prague W to win (Sparta Prague W v Slavia Prague W) is the bet. (posted at: 8:30, 20/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Over 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 1.95
10:30: Makes sense to back the PaddyPower odds of 1.95 for Over 3.5 goals in this Sparta Prague W v Slavia Prague W game. (posted at: 8:30, 20/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS Yes
Odds Available: 3.1
16:00: Take the odds of 3.1 for BTTS Yes in the Pontevedra v Laredo match, with Ladbrokes. (posted at: 8:30, 20/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Over 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.75
16:10: The SkyBet odds of 2.75 for Over 3.5 goals in the Hibernian W v Rangers W fixture is the type of bet that has served us well. (posted at: 8:30, 20/4)
Result: Loss
2025-04-21: Monday
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 21/04 00:30 | Palmeiras W v Bahia W | 1X2 Bahia W to win | 14.00 |
| 21/04 00:30 | Palmeiras W v Bahia W | Over 3.5 goals | 1.91 |
| 21/04 00:30 | Wilstermann v Academia del Balompie | BTTS No | 2.20 |
| 21/04 02:05 | Club Leon v Monterrey | BTTS No | 2.50 |
Bet: 1X2 Bahia W to win
Odds Available: 14
0:30: The BetfairSB odds of 14 for 1X2 Bahia W to win in the Palmeiras W v Bahia W fixture is the type of bet that has served us well. (posted at: 8:30, 20/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Over 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 1.91
0:30: PaddyPower's odds of 1.91 for Over 3.5 goals in the Palmeiras W v Bahia W game is where the value lies in this one too. (posted at: 8:30, 20/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.2
0:30: There's another good bet here with PaddyPower. Their odds of 2.2 for BTTS No in the Wilstermann v Academia del Balompie game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 8:30, 20/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.5
2:05: Evidence of value for those looking to back the BTTS No in the Club Leon v Monterrey game. These decimal odds of 2.5 are with SkyBet. (posted at: 8:30, 20/4)
Result: Win
Monday evening has Burnley v Sheffield Utd in a 5.30pm kick-off, live on ITV1. (updated at: 17:02, 20/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 21/04 17:30 | Burnley v Sheffield Utd | Under 1.5 goals | 3.00 |
Bet: Under 1.5 goals
Odds Available: 3
17:30: Three wins in a row earlier this morning and we now take the 2/1 odds with SkyBet for no more than a single goal in the Burnley v Sheffield Utd Monday night game in the EFL Championship. (posted at: 17:02, 21/4)
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-19: Saturday
On Friday we had a winning treble at odds of 16/1... Saturday features bets in the Premier League, Bundesliga and more. Don't forget to join our TELEGRAM service to get notifications when the latest selections are published. All results so far in April are available for review. (updated at: 15:51, 19/4)
- A starting bank of £400 (240 days ago) using £10 flat-staking would now be worth £3061. That's a compound growth rate of 665%.
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 19/04 12:00 | Botev Vratsa v Arda | 1X2 Arda to win | 1.65 |
| 19/04 14:00 | SJK Akatemia 2 v Narpes Kraft | 1X2 SJK Akatemia 2 | 1.50 |
| 19/04 14:30 | Heidenheim v Bayern Munich | Under 3.5 goals | 2.00 |
| 19/04 15:00 | Hamilton v Queen's Park | 1X2 Hamilton to win | 1.91 |
| 19/04 17:30 | Aston Villa v Newcastle | BTTS No | 2.50 |
Bet: 1X2 Arda to win
Odds Available: 1.65
12:00: The 60.6% chance suggested by BetfairSB for the 1X2 Arda to win seems a little low to us. Botev Vratsa v Arda is the fixture and the decimal odds of 1.65 is the bet. (posted at: 9:52, 19/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: 1X2 SJK Akatemia 2
Odds Available: 1.5
14:00: Next is the odds provided by Ladbrokes. Specifically the 1.5 decimal odds for 1X2 SJK Akatemia 2 in the SJK Akatemia 2 v Narpes Kraft fixture. (posted at: 9:52, 19/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Under 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2
14:30: SkyBet's odds of 2 for Under 3.5 goals in the Heidenheim v Bayern Munich match is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 9:52, 19/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: 1X2 Hamilton to win
Odds Available: 1.91
15:00: WilliamHill's odds of 1.91 for 1X2 Hamilton to win in the Hamilton v Queen's Park match is another bet for us. (posted at: 9:52, 19/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.5
17:30: At least one clean sheet is the view for the Premier League clash between Villa and Newcastle at 5.30pm. We like the odds of 2.5 for BTTS No with BetFred and several other books. There is also some 2.62 knocking about for those who want to maximise the value. (posted at: 10:09, 19/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 19/04 18:00 | Monaco v Strasbourg | BTTS No | 2.62 |
| 19/04 18:30 | Polonia Warszawa v Wisla Plock | BTTS No | 2.25 |
| 19/04 19:00 | Heerenveen v Almere City | BTTS No | 2.38 |
| 19/04 19:00 | SkyBet | The 1st double | 5.90 |
| 19/04 19:00 | SkyBet | The 2nd double | 6.24 |
| 19/04 19:00 | SkyBet | The 3rd double | 5.36 |
| 19/04 19:00 | SkyBet | The treble | 14.03 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.62
18:00: The 38.2% chance suggested by SkyBet for the BTTS No seems a little low to us. Monaco v Strasbourg is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.62 is the bet. (posted at: 15:51, 19/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.25
18:30: Makes sense to back the SkyBet odds of 2.25 for BTTS No in this Polonia Warszawa v Wisla Plock game. (posted at: 15:51, 19/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.38
19:00: Have to consider the SkyBet odds of 2.38 for BTTS No in the Heerenveen v Almere City match. (posted at: 15:51, 19/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Three doubles
Odds Available: 5.9, 6.24 and 5.36
These selections warrant consideration for adding to a bunch of doubles too. That way, we are compounding the value which is a profitable long-term strategy. The first two matches create decimal odds of 5.9 for the double; games 1 and 3 get us 6.24. The double is worth 5.36 for the second and third selections.
Result: Win, Loss, Loss
Bet: The treble
Odds Available: 14.03
We would also put these three selections into a treble. We get an unlikely-sounding 14.03 decimal odds (2.62 x 2.25 x 2.38) if the treble lands.
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-18: Friday
Not been a great few days of results recently, although April is still going strong overall. We attempt to turn the performance around today, Friday, with action throughout the day... singles and accas making up the current menu. (updated at: 15:22, 18/4)
- A starting bank of £400 (240 days ago) would now be worth £2946. That's a compound growth rate of 636% based on an average profit of £11 per day. If it takes 1 minute to place each bet with a flat stake of £10, that works out as an hourly rate of £93 profit per hour of effort.
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 18/04 12:00 | Alberts JDFS v Riga FC 2 | BTTS Yes | 2.75 |
Bet: BTTS Yes
Odds Available: 2.75
12:00: The Easter weekend action starts at midday on Friday and we like goals at both ends of the park when Alberts JDFS v Riga FC 2 goes down in Latvia's First League. The BTTS Yes is available to back at 2.75 decimal odds with BetVictor. (posted at: 9:10, 18/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 18/04 13:00 | Bollstanas v Korsnas | 1X2 Bollstanas to win | 1.55 |
Bet: 1X2 Bollstanas to win
Odds Available: 1.55
13:00: We make the 1X2 odds for Bollstanas to win their match against Korsnas at 1pm in Sweden more likely than the 1.55 price-tag offered by Ladbrokes. In fact, we would back them at anything above 1/2 (1.5 decimal odds). (posted at: 9:20, 18/4)
Result: Win
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 18/04 14:00 | Mjallby v Hammarby | BTTS No | 2.00 |
| 18/04 16:00 | Znojmo v Unicov | BTTS No | 2.40 |
| 18/04 18:00 | Hatayspor v Konyaspor | BTTS No | 2.30 |
| 18/04 18:30 | TWL Elektra v Marchfeld | BTTS No | 2.20 |
| 18/04 18:30 | WilliamHill | The fourfold | 24.29 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2
14:00: The SharpBetting algo has at least one clean-sheet at greater than the 50% implied probability with WilliamHill. Decimal odds of 2 for BTTS No (Mjallby v Hammarby) is the bet. (posted at: 8:18, 18/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.4
16:00: We can't ignore the WilliamHill odds of 2.4 for BTTS No in the Znojmo v Unicov game. (posted at: 8:18, 18/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.3
18:00: There's another good bet here with WilliamHill. Their odds of 2.3 for BTTS No in the Hatayspor v Konyaspor game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 8:18, 18/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.2
18:30: Evidence of value for those looking to back the BTTS No again, in the TWL Elektra v Marchfeld game at 6pm. These decimal odds of 2.2 are also with WilliamHill. (posted at: 8:18, 18/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: The fourfold
Odds Available: 24.29
The win/loss runs often come back-to-back and we are due a good run as we move into the Easter weekend. These 24.29 decimal odds (2 x 2.4 x 2.3 x 2.2) will pay handsomely if all four legs come home. Fingers crossed.
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 18/04 17:00 | St. Polten v Ried | BTTS No | 2.10 |
| 18/04 17:00 | Sturm Graz II v First Vienna | BTTS No | 2.50 |
| 18/04 17:00 | A. Lustenau v Liefering | BTTS No | 2.25 |
| 18/04 17:00 | Horn v Bregenz | BTTS No | 2.50 |
| 18/04 17:00 | SkyBet | The fourfold | 29.53 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.1
17:00: SkyBet's odds of 2.1 for BTTS No in the St. Polten v Ried game feels like the right side to be on in this fixture. (posted at: 15:06, 18/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.5
17:00: The implied probability of 40% by SkyBet for the BTTS No seems too low here. Sturm Graz II v First Vienna is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.5 is the bet. (posted at: 15:06, 18/4)
Result: POSTPONED
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.25
17:00: Also SkyBet's odds of 2.25 for BTTS No in the A. Lustenau v Liefering game feels like the right side to be on. (posted at: 15:06, 18/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.5
17:00: There's another good bet here with SkyBet. Their odds of 2.5 for BTTS No in the Horn v Bregenz game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 15:06, 18/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: The fourfold
Odds Available: 29.53
It will be a good Friday if these 29.53 decimal odds (2.1 x 2.5 x 2.25 x 2.5) come in and it will be plastered all over social media in the unlikely event that this fourfold wins!
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 18/04 16:30 | Shamal v Al Wakra | BTTS No | 2.88 |
| 18/04 16:30 | Umm-Salal v Al Arabi | BTTS No | 2.88 |
| 18/04 16:30 | Al Khor v Al-Duhail | Under 3.5 goals | 2.00 |
| 18/04 16:30 | PaddyPower | The treble | 16.59 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.88
16:30: Take the odds of 2.88 for BTTS No in the Shamal v Al Wakra match, with PaddyPower. (posted at: 15:22, 18/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.88
16:30: We also can't ignore the PaddyPower odds of 2.88 for BTTS No in the Umm-Salal v Al Arabi game. (posted at: 15:22, 18/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Under 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2
16:30: And PaddyPower's odds of 2 for Under 3.5 goals in the Al Khor v Al-Duhail match is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 15:22, 18/4)
Result: Win
Bet: The treble
Odds Available: 16.59
In the long-run, putting these into a chunky treble is also the sharp play. If we can land this treble too we get a decent payoff (2.88 x 2.88 x 2 = 16.59 decimal odds).
Result: Win
____________________
2025-04-17: Thursday
Thursday's action gets going at 9.15am and goes through to tonight's Europa League. Today's bets are with BetVictor, WilliamHill, Unibet, PaddyPower, Betfair and SkyBet. (updated at: 8:52, 17/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 17/04 09:15 | Khoromkhon v Deren | Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 |
| 17/04 12:00 | Osterbro W v Midtjylland W | BTTS Yes | 2.90 |
| 17/04 13:00 | Grorud v Honefoss | 1X2 Honefoss to win | 2.75 |
Bet: Over 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.4
9:15: We make the Over 3.5 goals bet a more likely outcome than the 41.7% chance suggested by BetVictor. Khoromkhon v Deren is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.4 is the bet. (posted at: 8:31, 17/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS Yes
Odds Available: 2.9
12:00: Have to consider the WilliamHill odds of 2.9 for BTTS Yes in the Osterbro W v Midtjylland W game. (posted at: 8:31, 17/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: 1X2 Honefoss to win
Odds Available: 2.75
13:00: Unibet's odds of 2.75 for 1X2 Honefoss to win in the Grorud v Honefoss match is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 8:31, 17/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 17/04 20:00 | Eintracht Frankfurt v Tottenham | BTTS No | 2.70 |
| 17/04 20:00 | Ath Bilbao v Rangers | 1X2 Rangers to win | 10.00 |
| 17/04 20:00 | Bradford City v Notts Co | BTTS No | 2.10 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.7
20:00: We are looking at the prices on offer with BetfairSB for this. It's decimal odds of 2.7 for BTTS No in the Eintracht Frankfurt v Tottenham game that we like here. (posted at: 8:52, 17/4)
Result: Win
Bet: 1X2 Rangers to win
Odds Available: 10
20:00: The SharpBetting algo has this at greater than the 10% chance implied by PaddyPower. Decimal odds of 10 for 1X2 Rangers to win (Ath Bilbao v Rangers) is the bet. (posted at: 8:52, 17/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.1
20:00: Have to consider the SkyBet odds of 2.1 for BTTS No in the Bradford City v Notts Co match. (posted at: 8:52, 17/4)
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-16: Wednesday
Wednesday's selections in both Champions League games tonight are available below. All yesterday's results can be seen here and analysis of the complete bet history since August is here. (updated at: 15:48, 16/4)
- If you "Dutch" the two Correct Score bets you can get combined odds of 6.34. See how that works here.
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 16/04 20:00 | Inter v Bayern Munich | 1X2 Inter to win | 2.70 |
| 16/04 20:00 | Inter v Bayern Munich | BTTS No | 2.45 |
| 16/04 20:00 | Inter v Bayern Munich | Correct Score Inter to Win 1-0 | 11.00 |
| 16/04 20:00 | Inter v Bayern Munich | Correct Score Inter to Win 2-0 | 15.00 |
Bet: 1X2 Inter to win
Odds Available: 2.7
20:00: BetfairSB's odds of 2.7 for 1X2 Inter to win in the Inter v Bayern Munich game feels like the right side to be on in this fixture. (posted at: 8:20, 16/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.45
20:00: We make the BTTS No bet a more likely outcome than the 40.8% suggested by Unibet. Inter v Bayern Munich is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.45 is the bet. You can shop around and get a better price than this, but we like anything of 2.45 or more. (posted at: 8:20, 16/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Correct Score Inter to Win 1-0
Odds Available: 11
20:00: Have to consider the Bet365 odds of 11 (10/1 fractional odds) for Correct Score Inter to Win 1-0 in the Inter v Bayern Munich match. (posted at: 8:20, 16/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Correct Score Inter to Win 2-0
Odds Available: 15
20:00: The implied probability of 6.7% by Bet365 for the Correct Score Inter to Win 2-0 seems too low here. Inter v Bayern Munich is the fixture and the decimal odds of 15 is another bet for this game (14/1 fractional odds). (posted at: 8:20, 16/4)
Result: Loss
- Click here to see how to "Dutch" these two Correct Score bets.
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 16/04 19:00 | Bahia W v Real Brasilia W | Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 |
| 16/04 19:00 | Bahia W v Real Brasilia W | Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 |
Bet: Over 1.5 goals
Odds Available: 1.28
19:00: Give it a miss if it sounds too short, but there's a noteworthy betting opportunity here with Ladbrokes. Their odds of 1.28 for Over 1.5 goals in the Bahia W v Real Brasilia W game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 12:16, 16/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 1.85
19:00: The SharpBetting algo also has at least three goals at greater than the 54.1% chance implied by Ladbrokes. Decimal odds of 1.85 for Over 2.5 goals (Bahia W v Real Brasilia W) is the bet. (posted at: 12:16, 16/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 16/04 20:00 | Real Madrid v Arsenal | Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 |
Bet: Under 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.38
20:00: If you can get the 2.38 with SkyBet for no more than two goals, that would be the bet in the Real Madrid v Arsenal game. Plenty of books offering at least that price, with some 2.45 knocking about too. But remember, sometimes it is prudent not to take the best price in the market. (posted at: 15:48, 16/4)
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-15: Tuesday
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds | Result |
| 15/04 16:30 | GrIFK v Mariehamn | Under 3.5 goals | 2.25 | Win |
| 15/04 17:00 | Kiisto v OLS Oulu | Under 3.5 goals | 2.75 | Win |
| 15/04 17:00 | NuPS v HJS | Under 3.5 goals | 2.25 | Win |
| 15/04 17:00 | PaddyPower | The 1st double | 6.19 | Win |
| 15/04 17:00 | PaddyPower | The 2nd double | 5.06 | Win |
| 15/04 17:00 | PaddyPower | The 3rd double | 6.19 | Win |
| 15/04 17:00 | PaddyPower | The treble | 13.92 | Win |
Bet: Under 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.25
16:30: Take the odds of 2.25 for Under 3.5 goals in the GrIFK v Mariehamn match, with PaddyPower. (posted at: 17:33, 14/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Under 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.75
17:00: There's another noteworthy betting opportunity here with PaddyPower. Their odds of 2.75 for Under 3.5 goals in the Kiisto v OLS Oulu game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 17:33, 14/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Under 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.25
17:00: Back the 2.25 decimal odds for Under 3.5 goals in the NuPS v HJS fixture with PaddyPower. (posted at: 17:33, 14/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Three doubles
Odds Available: 6.19, 5.06 and 6.19
If we place doubles on these selections we compound the value. Putting the first two games into a double pays 6.19 (2.25 x 2.75) in decimal odds; games 1 and 3 will give us 5.06 (2.25 x 2.25) and games 2 and 3 are worth 6.19 (2.75 x 2.25) in a double.
Result: Win, Win, Win
Bet: The treble
Odds Available: 13.92
The big price here might add to the variance but it pays in the long-run. If we can land this treble too we get a decent payoff (2.25 x 2.75 x 2.25 = 13.92 decimal odds).
Result: Win
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds | Result |
| 15/04 19:30 | Arsenal W v Leicester W | BTTS No | 1.80 | Loss |
| 15/04 20:00 | Dortmund v Barcelona | BTTS No | 2.85 | Loss |
| 15/04 20:00 | Aston Villa v PSG | BTTS No | 2.60 | Loss |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 1.8
19:30: Take the odds of 1.8 for BTTS No in the Arsenal W v Leicester W match, with PaddyPower. (posted at: 10:25, 15/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.85
20:00: The SharpBetting algo has this at greater than the 35.1% chance implied by Unibet. Decimal odds of 2.85 for BTTS No (Dortmund v Barcelona) is the bet. (posted at: 10:25, 15/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.6
20:00: Could be worse bets out there than the odds of 2.6 for BTTS No in the Aston Villa v PSG game. This is with BetfairSB. (posted at: 10:25, 15/4)
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-14: Monday
We continue at 6pm with four new selections and a huge-price 38/1 fourfold. We also have a patent for Tuesday.
So far during April, the highest odds picked in these previews has been the decimal odds of 18.59 for a winning treble. However, there was also an odds-on loss at 1.36 for 1X2 Wycombe when we picked them and they drew against Shrewsbury. Despite 61% possession, 13 corners and 33 shots, they were held to 0-0 on 1st April.
Click here to see April's results so far in full. (updated at: 17:33, 14/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 14/04 13:30 | Inhulets v Karpaty Lviv | Under 1.5 goals | 2.75 |
| 14/04 14:30 | Raya v Baladiyat El Mahalla | Under 2.5 goals | 1.40 |
| 14/04 15:00 | Umraniyespor v Erokspor | Under 1.5 goals | 3.60 |
Bet: Under 1.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.75
13:30: Take the odds of 2.75 for Under 1.5 goals in the Inhulets v Karpaty Lviv match, with PaddyPower. (posted at: 12:25, 14/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Under 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 1.4
14:30: It will be too short for some, but we have to consider the Ladbrokes odds of 1.4 for Under 2.5 goals in the Raya v Baladiyat El Mahalla game. (posted at: 12:25, 14/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Under 1.5 goals
Odds Available: 3.6
15:00: The 27.8% chance suggested by BetfairSB for the Under 1.5 goals feels low. Umraniyespor v Erokspor is the fixture and the decimal odds of 3.6 is the bet. (posted at: 12:25, 14/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 14/04 18:00 | Lechia Gdansk v Stal Mielec | BTTS No | 2.38 |
| 14/04 18:00 | Hebar v Ludogorets | Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 |
| 14/04 19:00 | Jong PSV v Maastricht | Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 |
| 14/04 20:00 | Palestino v Union La Calera | BTTS No | 2.00 |
| 14/04 20:00 | SkyBet | The fourfold | 38.52 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.38
18:00: Could be worse bets out there than the odds of 2.38 for BTTS No in the Lechia Gdansk v Stal Mielec game. This is with SkyBet. (posted at: 17:12, 14/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Under 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.38
18:00: Next are these odds also provided by SkyBet. Specifically the 2.38 decimal odds for Under 2.5 goals in the Hebar v Ludogorets fixture. (posted at: 17:12, 14/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Under 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 3.4
19:00: And it is also SkyBet's odds of 3.4 for Under 2.5 goals in the Jong PSV v Maastricht match which is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 17:12, 14/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2
20:00: Back the even-money (2.00 decimal odds) for BTTS No in the Palestino v Union La Calera fixture with SkyBet too. (posted at: 17:12, 14/4)
Result: Win
Bet: The fourfold
Odds Available: 38.52
We'll get an unlikely-sounding 38.52 decimal odds (2.38 x 2.38 x 3.4 x 2) if this fourfold wins.
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-13: Sunday
The profit/loss from the last 50 bets from David's Daily are shown in this graph. These are the results from a Sharp-Stake maximum of £10. The return-on-investment is 24.3%.
Sunday's latest update includes games in Italy's Serie A and the Scottish Premiership... (updated at: 18:03, 13/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 13/04 11:30 | Atalanta v Bologna | BTTS No | 2.10 |
| 13/04 11:30 | Sakaryaspor v Pendikspor | BTTS No | 2.25 |
| 13/04 12:00 | Aberdeen v Rangers | BTTS No | 2.62 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.1
11:30: Skybet's odds of 2.1 for BTTS No in the Atalanta v Bologna game feels like the right side to be on in the long-run. (posted at: 8:45, 13/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.25
11:30: There's another noteworthy betting opportunity here with Skybet. Their odds of 2.25 for BTTS No in the Sakaryaspor v Pendikspor game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 8:45, 13/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.62
12:00: We've seen some value for the 2.62 in the BTTS No price offered in the Aberdeen v Rangers match. The highlighted odds are currently available with Skybet. (posted at: 8:45, 13/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 13/04 15:30 | Luzern v Young Boys | Young Boys to win | 2.35 |
Bet: Young Boys to win
Odds Available: 2.35
15:30: We make the Young Boys to win a more likely outcome than the 42.6% chance suggested by Bet365. Luzern v Young Boys is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.35 is the bet. (posted at: 9:26, 13/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 13/04 19:30 | Club Lujan v General Lamadrid | Over 3.5 goals | 5.00 |
| 13/04 20:00 | Gimnasia E.R. v Douglas Haig | Over 2.5 goals | 2.88 |
Bet: Over 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 5
19:30: BetVictor's odds of 5 for Over 3.5 goals in the Club Lujan v General Lamadrid game is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 18:03, 13/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.88
20:00: The SharpBetting algo has this at greater than the 34.7% chance implied by BetfairSB. Decimal odds of 2.88 for Over 2.5 goals (Gimnasia E.R. v Douglas Haig) is the bet. (posted at: 18:03, 13/4)
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-12: Saturday
Don't forget to sign up for our Telegram notification service. The weekend selections start with PaddyPower, SkyBet, and Betfair and more to come. Games are posted throughout the weekend and we are in Italy (Serie A), Germany (Bundesliga), USA (MLS) and we have a Saturday evening double... (updated at: 17:18, 12/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 12/04 14:00 | Venezia v Monza | BTTS No | 2.00 |
| 12/04 14:30 | B. Monchengladbach v Freiburg | BTTS No | 2.55 |
| 12/04 19:45 | Atlanta Utd v New England Revolution | BTTS No | 2.45 |
| 12/04 19:45 | Juventus v Lecce | Under 1.5 goals | 4.00 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2
14:00: There's a noteworthy betting opportunity here with SkyBet. Their odds of 2 for BTTS No in the Venezia v Monza game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 13:12, 12/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.55
14:30: We make the BTTS No bet a more likely outcome than the 39.2% suggested by PaddyPower. B. Monchengladbach v Freiburg is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.55 is the bet. (posted at: 13:12, 12/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.45
19:45: Have to consider the BetfairSB odds of 2.45 for BTTS No in the Atlanta Utd v New England Revolution match. (posted at: 13:12, 12/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Under 1.5 goals
Odds Available: 4
19:45: SkyBet's odds of 4 for Under 1.5 goals in the Juventus v Lecce match is another bet for us. (posted at: 13:12, 12/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 12/04 19:00 | PSV v Almere City | Under 3.5 goals | 2.40 |
| 12/04 19:30 | Zurich v Basel | BTTS No | 2.88 |
| 12/04 19:30 | PaddyPower | The double | 6.91 |
Bet: Under 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.4
19:00: We are looking at the prices on offer with PaddyPower for this. It's decimal odds of 2.4 for Under 3.5 goals in the PSV v Almere City game that we like here. (posted at: 17:18, 12/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.88
19:30: Back the 2.88 decimal odds for BTTS No in the Zurich v Basel fixture - again this is with PaddyPower. (posted at: 17:18, 12/4)
Result: Win
Bet: The double
Odds Available: 6.91
This double pays 6.91 (2.4 x 2.88) with these PaddyPower decimal odds. When in Rome.
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-11: Friday
Friday's selections feature bets with Unibet, WilliamHill, SkyBet, Bet365 and Betfair. Games are throughout the day and we are in Australia, Germany, Norway, France and more... (updated at: 12:49, 11/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 11/04 10:35 | Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar | BTTS No | 2.05 |
| 11/04 17:30 | OS TF v Fana | Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 |
| 11/04 19:30 | Wolfsburg v RB Leipzig | BTTS No | 2.63 |
| 11/04 19:45 | Lens v Reims | Under 1.5 goals | 4.33 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.05
10:35: WilliamHill's odds of 2.05 for BTTS No in the Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar fixture is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 9:12, 11/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Over 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.2
17:30: We've also seen some value for the 2.2 in the Over 3.5 goals price offered in the OS TF v Fana match. The highlighted odds are currently available with Bet365. (posted at: 9:12, 11/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.63
19:30: BetfairSB's odds of 2.63 for BTTS No in the Wolfsburg v RB Leipzig game feels like the right side to be on. (posted at: 9:12, 11/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Under 1.5 goals
Odds Available: 4.33
19:45: The implied probability of 23.1% by Skybet for the Under 1.5 goals seems too low here. Lens v Reims is the fixture and the decimal odds of 4.33 is the bet. (posted at: 9:12, 11/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 11/04 16:30 | Shamal v Al Rayyan | BTTS No | 3.20 |
| 11/04 17:00 | Brikama U. v Greater Tomorrow | BTTS Yes | 3.35 |
| 11/04 17:00 | Unibet | The double | 10.72 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 3.2
16:30: Unibet's odds of 3.2 for BTTS No in the Shamal v Al Rayyan game is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 12:49, 11/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS Yes
Odds Available: 3.35
17:00: And also it is Unibet's odds of 3.35 but this time for BTTS Yes in the Brikama U. v Greater Tomorrow clash. Which is also Today. (posted at: 12:49, 11/4)
Result: Win
Bet: The double
Odds Available: 10.72
The brave will also put this in a better than 9/1 acca; the double pays 10.72 (3.2 x 3.35) with these Unibet decimal odds.
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-10: Thursday
Bet: Under 1.5 goals
Odds Available: 5
17:45: Take the odds of 5 for Under 1.5 goals in the Legia v Chelsea match, with Skybet. (posted at: 8:32, 10/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.15
17:45: BetfairSB's odds of 2.15 for BTTS No in the Legia v Chelsea game is where the value lies in this one too. (posted at: 8:32, 10/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.5
20:00: The Skybet odds of 2.5 for BTTS No in the Tottenham v Eintracht Frankfurt match is worth considering for those looking for an interest tonight. (posted at: 8:32, 10/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: 1X2 Celje to win
Odds Available: 7.5
20:00: The implied probability of 13.3% by BetfairSB for the 1X2 Celje to win seems too low here. Celje v Fiorentina is the fixture and the decimal odds of 7.5 is the bet. (posted at: 8:32, 10/4)
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-09: Wednesday
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.38
20:00: We make the BTTS No bet a more likely outcome than the 42% chance suggested by BetfairSB. PSG v Aston Villa is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.38 is the bet. (posted at: 12:56, 9/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.38
20:00: Could be worse bets out there than the odds of 2.38 for BTTS No in the Barcelona v Dortmund game. This is with BetfairSB. (posted at: 12:56, 9/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Under 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 3.4
20:00: Skybet's odds of 3.4 for Under 2.5 goals in the Barcelona v Dortmund game feels like the right side to be on in this game. (posted at: 12:56, 9/4)
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-08: Tuesday
Tuesday night has Champions League quarter-final action from 8pm and we have picks in both games. We also have some Middlesbrough-Leeds action among the six bets that have been posted so far today. (updated at: 12:11, 8/4)
SharpBetting: using the app and Telegram in conjunction with David's Daily:
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 08/04 20:00 | Arsenal v Real Madrid | Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 |
| 08/04 20:00 | Bayern Munich v Inter | BTTS No | 2.20 |
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 2
20:00: The 50% chance even-money suggested by Unibet for the Over 2.5 goals seems a little low to us. Arsenal v Real Madrid is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2 is the bet. (posted at: 9:07, 8/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.2
20:00: One also has to consider the Skybet odds of 2.2 for BTTS No as a chance for some value in the Bayern Munich v Inter match. (posted at: 9:07, 8/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 08/04 19:45 | Aldershot v Boston Utd | Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 |
| 08/04 19:45 | Bristol City v West Brom | Under 3.5 goals | 1.29 |
| 08/04 20:00 | Middlesbrough v Leeds | Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 |
| 08/04 20:00 | Middlesbrough v Leeds | BTTS No | 2.20 |
Bet: Over 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 3.4
19:45: We make the Over 3.5 goals bet a more likely outcome than the 29.4% chance suggested by BetVictor. Aldershot v Boston Utd is the fixture and the decimal odds of 3.4 is the bet. (posted at: 12:11, 8/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Under 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 1.29
19:45: Probably too short for some but we can't ignore the Skybet odds of 1.29 for Under 3.5 goals in the Bristol City v West Brom game. (posted at: 12:11, 8/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Under 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.1
20:00: We'd back the 2.1 decimal odds for Under 2.5 goals in the Middlesbrough-Leeds fixture with Skybet. (posted at: 12:11, 8/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.2
20:00: We've also seen some value for the 2.2 in the BTTS No price offered in this Middlesbrough v Leeds match. The highlighted odds are currently available with Skybet. (posted at: 12:11, 8/4)
Result: Win
____________________
2025-04-07: Monday
For Monday's David's Daily we have a patent featuring today's games in the Premier League and La Liga. We also have a big-price upset lined up for 8pm's kick-off. (updated at: 17:10, 7/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 07/04 19:30 | Elche v Racing Club Ferrol | 1X2 Elche to win | 1.38 |
| 07/04 20:00 | Leganes v Osasuna | Over 2.5 goals | 2.62 |
| 07/04 20:00 | Leicester v Newcastle | BTTS No | 1.95 |
| 07/04 20:00 | Bet365 | The 1st double | 3.62 |
| 07/04 20:00 | Bet365 | The 2nd double | 2.69 |
| 07/04 20:00 | Bet365 | The 3rd double | 5.11 |
| 07/04 20:00 | Bet365 | The treble | 7.05 |
Bet: 1X2 Elche to win
Odds Available: 1.38
19:30: One has to consider the Bet365 odds of 1.38 for 1X2 Elche to win in the Elche v Racing Club Ferrol match. (posted at: 10:48, 7/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.62
20:00: Could be worse bets out there than the odds of 2.62 for Over 2.5 goals in the Leganes v Osasuna game. This is also with Bet365. (posted at: 10:48, 7/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 1.95
20:00: Evidence of value for those looking to back the BTTS No in the Leicester v Newcastle game. These decimal odds of 1.95 are again with Bet365. (posted at: 10:48, 7/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Three doubles
Odds Available: 3.62, 2.69 and 5.11
Doubles will compound the value. Putting the first two games into a double pays 3.62 (1.38 x 2.62) in decimal odds; games 1 and 3 will give us 2.69 (1.38 x 1.95) and games 2 and 3 are worth 5.11 (2.62 x 1.95) in a double.
Result: Loss, Win, Loss
Bet: The treble
Odds Available: 7.05
Bet365 may think there is only a 14.2% chance this wins. We think it's more likely than that. If we can land this treble too we get a decent payoff (1.38 x 2.62 x 1.95 = 7.05 decimal odds).
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 07/04 20:00 | Leicester v Newcastle | 1X2 Leicester to win | 8.50 |
1X2 Leicester to win
Odds Available: 8.50
20:00: Upset klaxon. Despite their form coming into this one, we are taking the 8.50 odds with BetFred (15/2 fractional) in tonight's Premier League clash, Leicester City to win. (posted at: 12:54, 7/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 07/04 17:30 | Ready v Odd 2 | 1X2 Ready to win | 2.90 |
| 07/04 21:30 | Inter Palmira v Atletico F.C. | 1X2 Inter Palmira to win | 1.40 |
Bet: 1X2 Ready to win
Odds Available: 2.9
17:30: Could be worse bets out there than the odds of 2.9 for 1X2 Ready to win in the Ready v Odd 2 game. This is with lads and lasses at Ladbrokes. (posted at: 17:10, 7/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: 1X2 Inter Palmira to win
Odds Available: 1.4
21:30: And later, the Ladbrokes odds of 1.4 for 1X2 Inter Palmira to win in the Inter Palmira v Atletico F.C. game also feel like the right side to be on in the long-run. (posted at: 17:10, 7/4)
Result: Win
____________________
2025-04-06: Sunday
After we had the winner of the Grand National as our top-rated horse in the race, there were plenty of healthy pockets yesterday. For David's Daily today we have a patent as well as some action in the Premier League and La Liga. (updated at: 14:43, 6/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 06/04 14:00 | Brentford v Chelsea | BTTS No | 3.00 |
| 06/04 14:00 | Fulham v Liverpool | BTTS No | 2.25 |
| 06/04 17:30 | Burgos CF v Huesca | Over 2.5 goals | 3.50 |
| 06/04 17:30 | Valladolid v Getafe | Over 2.5 goals | 3.00 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 3
14:00: SkyBet's odds of 3 for BTTS No in the Brentford v Chelsea match is a bet for us. (posted at: 8:35, 6/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.25
14:00: The implied probability of 44.4% by PaddyPower for the BTTS No seems too low here. Fulham v Liverpool is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.25 is the bet. (posted at: 8:35, 6/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 3.5
17:30: Evidence of value for those looking to back the Over 2.5 goals in the Burgos CF v Huesca game. These decimal odds of 3.5 are with bet365. (posted at: 8:35, 6/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 3
17:30: We've seen some value for the 3 in the Over 2.5 goals price offered in the Valladolid v Getafe match. The highlighted odds are currently available with bet365. (posted at: 8:35, 6/4)
Result: Win
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 06/04 14:50 | Emirates Club v Dibba Al Fujairah | BTTS No | 2.38 |
| 06/04 17:30 | Recoleta v S. Morning | BTTS No | 2.00 |
| 06/04 21:30 | Mount Pleasant v Harbour View | BTTS No | 1.65 |
| 06/04 21:30 | WilliamHill | The 1st double | 4.76 |
| 06/04 21:30 | WilliamHill | The 2nd double | 3.93 |
| 06/04 21:30 | WilliamHill | The 3rd double | 3.30 |
| 06/04 21:30 | WilliamHill | The treble | 7.85 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.38
14:50: The SharpBetting algo has this at greater than the 42% implied probability with WilliamHill. Decimal odds of 2.38 for BTTS No (Emirates Club v Dibba Al Fujairah) is the bet. (posted at: 14:43, 6/4)
The first leg of three selections for this Sunday patent was winning until 98 mins of play.
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2
17:30: There's another noteworthy betting opportunity here with WilliamHill. Their odds of 2 for BTTS No in the Recoleta v S. Morning game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 14:43, 6/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 1.65
21:30: Must also consider the WilliamHill odds of 1.65 for BTTS No in the Mount Pleasant v Harbour View match. (posted at: 14:43, 6/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Three doubles
Odds Available: 4.76, 3.93 and 3.3
With these three bets all with the same sportsbook, we'll get after it with some accas too. The first two matches create decimal odds of 4.76 for the double; games 1 and 3 get us 3.93. The double is worth 3.3 for the second and third selections.
Result: Loss, Loss, Win
Bet: The treble
Odds Available: 7.85
It will take about 9 hours for these three games to unfold. We would add them to another acca. If we can land this treble too we get a decent payoff (2.38 x 2 x 1.65 = 7.85 decimal odds).
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-05: Saturday
Great day of results on Friday and Saturday's coverage gets started at midday and continues throughout the afternoon including the Premier League and Championship fixtures. We have The Grand National featuring two horses with a Sharp 10 Rating of 5 or higher. Click here for the Top Rated horses at Aintree - the big one is off at 4pm. (updated at: 14:24, 5/4)
NICK ROCKETT (1st) and I AM MAXIMUS (2nd), both trained by Willie Mullins, were our top-rated horses for The Grand National. (updated at: 18:54, 5/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 05/04 12:00 | Nurnberg v Hamburger SV | Under 2.5 Goals | 2.75 |
| 05/04 12:00 | Nurnberg v Hamburger SV | BTTS No | 3.00 |
| 05/04 12:00 | Nurnberg v Hamburger SV | Correct Score 0-1 | 11.00 |
Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds Available: 2.75
12:00: We cannot overlook the SkyBet odds of 2.75 for Under 2.5 Goals in the Nurnberg v Hamburger SV game. (posted at: 8:53, 5/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 3
12:00: Take the odds of 3 for BTTS No in this Nurnberg v Hamburger SV match, with SkyBet too. (posted at: 8:53, 5/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Correct Score Hamburger SV to win 0-1
Odds Available: 11
12:00: Have to consider the SkyBet odds of 11 for Correct Score 0-1 in the Nurnberg v Hamburger SV match. (posted at: 8:53, 5/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 05/04 13:00 | Honefoss v Ull/Kisa | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.10 |
| 05/04 13:00 | Honefoss v Ull/Kisa | BTTS No | 2.75 |
| 05/04 13:00 | Honefoss v Ull/Kisa | Correct Score 4-0 | 29.00 |
Bet: Over 3.5 Goals
Odds Available: 2.1
13:00: There's a noteworthy betting opportunity here with BetVictor. Their odds of 2.1 for Over 3.5 Goals in the Honefoss v Ull/Kisa game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 9:22, 5/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.75
13:00: Back the 2.75 decimal odds for BTTS No in the same Honefoss v Ull/Kisa fixture and the same book, BetVictor. (posted at: 9:22, 5/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Correct Score Honefoss to win 4-0
Odds Available: 29
13:00: The 3.4% chance suggested by BetVictor for the Correct Score 4-0 feels low if anyone wants a shot at a big price (28/1). Honefoss v Ull/Kisa is the fixture again and the decimal odds of 29 is the bet. (posted at: 9:22, 5/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 05/04 12:30 | Everton v Arsenal | Over 3.5 Goals | 5.00 |
| 05/04 12:30 | Luton v Leeds | Under 1.5 Goals | 3.75 |
Bet: Over 3.5 Goals
Odds Available: 5
12:30: Let's see if we can get four or more goals in the 12:30 Saturday game between Everton and Arsenal. These 5.00 odds are with BetVictor. (posted at: 12:15, 5/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Under 1.5 Goals
Odds Available: 3.75
12:30: At the same time we like Under 1.5 Goals in the Luton-Leeds clash. This time with SkyBet. (posted at: 12:15, 5/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 05/04 15:00 | Parnu JK Vaprus v Harju JK Laagri | Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 |
| 05/04 15:00 | Swansea v Derby | Over 2.5 goals | 3.30 |
| 05/04 15:00 | Ipswich v Wolves | Over 2.5 goals | 2.25 |
| 05/04 15:00 | PaddyPower | The 1st double | 5.51 |
| 05/04 15:00 | PaddyPower | The 2nd double | 3.76 |
| 05/04 15:00 | PaddyPower | The 3rd double | 7.43 |
| 05/04 15:00 | PaddyPower | The treble | 12.40 |
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 1.67
15:00: There's a noteworthy betting opportunity here with PaddyPower. Their odds of 1.67 for Over 2.5 goals in the Parnu JK Vaprus v Harju JK Laagri game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 14:24, 5/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 3.3
15:00: Back the 3.3 decimal odds for Over 2.5 goals in the Swansea v Derby fixture with PaddyPower. (posted at: 14:24, 5/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.25
15:00: We make the Over 2.5 goals bet a more likely outcome than the 44.4% chance suggested by PaddyPower. Ipswich v Wolves is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.25 is the bet. (posted at: 14:24, 5/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Three doubles
Odds Available: 5.51, 3.76 and 7.43
On the basis that the singles are value, then the doubles are too. The bigger prices will add to the variance, but it is a Sharp Betting strategy in the long-term. The first two matches create decimal odds of 5.51 for the double; games 1 and 3 get us 3.76. The double is worth 7.43 for the second and third selections.
Result: Loss, Loss, Loss
Bet: The treble
Odds Available: 12.4
It will take about 2 hours for these three games to unfold. We would add them to another acca. We get an unlikely-sounding 12.4 decimal odds (1.67 x 3.3 x 2.25) if the treble lands.
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 05/04 19:30 | Def. de Belgrano v CA Estudiantes | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.67 |
Bet: Over 1.5 Goals
Odds Available: 1.67
19:30: Have to consider the PaddyPower odds of 1.67 for Over 1.5 Goals in the Def. de Belgrano v CA Estudiantes match. (posted at: 18:54, 5/4)
Result: Win
____________________
2025-04-04: Friday
Huge day for SharpBettors today as we release our new Telegram live service. To mark the occasion, a full weekend of David's Daily picks and previews is ahead of us, and it starts here. (posted at: 8:30, 4/4)
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds | Result |
| 04/04 09:30 | Melbourne Knights v Preston Lions | BTTS No | 2.75 | Win |
| 04/04 09:30 | St George Saints v Central Coast Mariners U23 | BTTS No | 2.60 | Win |
| 04/04 09:45 | Dandenong City v Avondale FC | BTTS No | 2.60 | Win |
| 04/04 09:45 | PaddyPower | The 1st double | 7.15 | Win |
| 04/04 09:45 | PaddyPower | The 2nd double | 7.15 | Win |
| 04/04 09:45 | PaddyPower | The 3rd double | 6.76 | Win |
| 04/04 09:45 | PaddyPower | The treble | 18.59 | Win |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.75
9:30: Take the odds of 2.75 for BTTS No in the Melbourne Knights v Preston Lions match, with PaddyPower. (posted at: 8:30, 4/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.6
9:30: Back the 2.6 decimal odds for BTTS No in the St George Saints v Central Coast Mariners U23 fixture with PaddyPower. (posted at: 8:30, 4/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.6
9:45: We make at least one clean-sheet a more likely outcome than the 38.5% chance suggested by PaddyPower for this Dandenong City v Avondale FC fixture too and the decimal odds of 2.6 is the bet. (posted at: 8:30, 4/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Three doubles
Odds Available: 7.15, 7.15 and 6.76
If we place doubles on these selections we compound the value. The first two matches create decimal odds of 7.15 for the double; games 1 and 3 get us 7.15. The double is worth 6.76 for the second and third selections.
Result: Win
Bet: The treble
Odds Available: 18.59
They don't land often, but when they do it pays. If we can land this treble too we get a decent payoff (2.75 x 2.6 x 2.6 = 18.59 decimal odds).
Result: Win
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds | Result |
| 04/04 17:00 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 v BFA Vilnius | BTTS No | 2.30 | Loss |
| 04/04 17:30 | Karlsruher SC v Hannover | BTTS No | 2.63 | Win |
| 04/04 17:30 | Braunschweig v Paderborn | BTTS No | 2.30 | Loss |
| 04/04 18:00 | Adana Demirspor v Kayserispor | BTTS No | 2.38 | Win |
| 04/04 18:00 | BetfairSB | The fourfold | 33.11 | Loss |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.3
17:00: We cannot overlook the BetfairSB odds of 2.3 for BTTS No in the Hegelmann Litauen 2 v BFA Vilnius game. (posted at: 13:54, 4/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.63
17:30: There's another noteworthy betting opportunity here with BetfairSB. Their odds of 2.63 for BTTS No in the Karlsruher SC v Hannover game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 13:54, 4/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.3
17:30: And BetfairSB's odds of 2.3 for BTTS No in the Braunschweig v Paderborn match is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 13:54, 4/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.38
18:00: Evidence of value for those looking to back the BTTS No in the Adana Demirspor v Kayserispor game. These decimal odds of 2.38 are also with BetfairSB. (posted at: 13:54, 4/4)
Result: Win
Bet: The fourfold
Odds Available: 33.11
It will compound the value to also back all four selections in an acca. The fourfold pays 33.11 in decimal odds (2.3 x 2.63 x 2.3 x 2.38).
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-03: Thursday
Chelsea v Tottenham in the Premier League tonight and we have a decent odds-against shot in the game, 8pm at Stamford Bridge.
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 03/04 20:00 | Chelsea v Tottenham | BTTS No | 2.80 |
| 03/04 20:00 | Chelsea v Tottenham | Correct Score 2-0 | 12.00 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.8
20:00: There's value in anything from 2.75 and above, so these 2.8 odds for the BTTS No in the Chelsea v Tottenham match will be something we're cheering on tonight. The highlighted odds are currently available with Unibet and several other books. (posted at: 8:15, 3/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Correct Score Chelsea to win 2-0
Odds Available: 12
20:00: It has been seven years since Spurs last claimed the spoils at Stamford Bridge, and considering Chelsea's solid defensive performances at home, we anticipate that Chelsea will maintain a clean sheet here. They can secure a 2-0 win in this fixture. Bet365 will give you 11/1 fractional odds about that scoreline. (posted at: 8:30, 3/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 03/04 19:30 | Luzern v St. Gallen | BTTS No | 2.62 |
| 03/04 19:30 | Basel v Grasshoppers | Under 2.5 Goals | 2.62 |
| 03/04 19:30 | SkyBet | The double | 6.86 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.62
19:30: Take the odds of 2.62 for BTTS No in the Luzern v St. Gallen match, with SkyBet. (posted at: 9:15, 3/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds Available: 2.62
19:30: The SharpBetting algo has this at greater than the 38.2% chance implied by SkyBet. Decimal odds of 2.62 for Under 2.5 Goals (Basel v Grasshoppers) is the bet. (posted at: 9:15, 3/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: The double
Odds Available: 6.86
Hoping for some Swiss neutrality tonight, and this double pays 6.86 (2.62 x 2.62) in decimal odds.
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 03/04 23:00 | Sporting Cristal v Palmeiras | BTTS No | 1.91 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 1.91
11:00: SkyBet's odds of 1.91 for BTTS No in the Sporting Cristal v Palmeiras game feels like the right side to be on in this one. (posted at: 20:59, 3/4)
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-02: Wednesday
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 02/04 19:45 | Newcastle v Brentford | BTTS No | 2.75 |
| 02/04 19:45 | Southampton v Crystal Palace | 1X2 Crystal Palace to win | 1.53 |
| 02/04 19:45 | Southampton v Crystal Palace | BTTS No | 2.10 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.75
19:45: Skybet's odds of 2.75 for BTTS No in the Newcastle v Brentford game feels like the right side to be on. (posted at: 8:25, 2/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: 1X2 Crystal Palace to win
Odds Available: 1.53
19:45: We make the 1X2 Crystal Palace to win bet a more likely outcome than the 65.4% suggested by Skybet. Southampton v Crystal Palace is the fixture and the decimal odds of 1.53 is the bet. (posted at: 8:25, 2/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.1
19:45: Also take the odds of 2.1 for BTTS No in the Southampton v Crystal Palace match, with Skybet. (posted at: 8:25, 2/4)
Result: Loss
| Time | Match | Selection | Odds |
| 02/04 18:00 | Eintracht Frankfurt II v Steinbach Haiger | BTTS No | 2.40 |
| 02/04 19:00 | AB Argir v Streymur 2 | Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 |
| 02/04 19:45 | Stuttgart v RB Leipzig | BTTS No | 2.60 |
| 02/04 20:30 | Atl. Madrid v Barcelona | BTTS No | 2.55 |
| 02/04 20:30 | PaddyPower | The fourfold | 43.76 |
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.4
18:00: There's a noteworthy betting opportunity here with PaddyPower. Their odds of 2.4 for BTTS No in the Eintracht Frankfurt II v Steinbach Haiger game stands out from the live value in the system. (posted at: 12:05, 2/4)
Result: Win
Bet: Over 3.5 goals
Odds Available: 2.75
19:00: And PaddyPower's odds of 2.75 for Over 3.5 goals in the AB Argir v Streymur 2 match is also a bet for us. (posted at: 12:05, 2/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.6
19:45: Then PaddyPower's odds of 2.6 for BTTS No in the Stuttgart v RB Leipzig match is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 12:05, 2/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.55
20:30: Could be worse bets out there than the odds of 2.55 for BTTS No in the Atl. Madrid v Barcelona game. This is also with PaddyPower. (posted at: 12:05, 2/4)
Result: Win
Bet: The fourfold
Odds Available: 43.76
There's 4hrs of action across these four legs and the fourfold pays 43.76 decimal odds (2.4 x 2.75 x 2.6 x 2.55) if they all come in {shrugs}.
Result: Loss
____________________
2025-04-01: Tuesday
Bet: BTTS Yes
Odds Available: 2.37
19:45: Take the odds of 2.37 for BTTS Yes in the Arsenal v Fulham match, with Ladbrokes. (posted at: 8:23, 1/4)
Result: Win
---
Bet: 1X2 Wycombe to win
Odds Available: 1.36
19:45: WilliamHill's odds of 1.36 for 1X2 Wycombe to win in the Wycombe v Shrewsbury match is where the value lies in this one. (posted at: 16:08, 1/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: 1X2 Real Madrid to win
Odds Available: 1.44
20:30: Back the 1.44 decimal odds for 1X2 Real Madrid to win in their Copa del Rey clash with Real Sociedad. Also with WilliamHill. (posted at: 16:08, 1/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: The double
Odds Available: 1.96
The double pays 1.96 (1.36 x 1.44) with these WilliamHill decimal odds.
Result: Loss
---
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.2
19:45: SkyBet's odds of 2.2 for BTTS No in the Newport v Bromley game feels like the right side to be on in the long-run. (posted at: 11:56, 1/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.1
19:45: The SharpBetting algo has this at greater than the 47.6% chance implied by SkyBet. Decimal odds of 2.1 for BTTS No (Morecambe v Cheltenham) is the pick of the bunch. (posted at: 11:56, 1/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.2
19:45: We also have this game as more likely than the 45.5% implied by SkyBet to have at least one clean-sheet. Decimal odds of 2.2 for BTTS No (Barnsley v Exeter) is the bet. (posted at: 11:56, 1/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.62
19:45: There's another BTTS No value bet here among the odds provided by SkyBet. Crawley v Peterborough is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.62 is the pick. (posted at: 11:56, 1/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: The fourfold
Odds Available: 26.63
At more than 25/1, we are getting a tempting 26.63 decimal odds (2.2 x 2.1 x 2.2 x 2.62) if the fourfold lands so why not.
Result: Loss
---
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.5
18:00: There's value in the 2.5 odds for the BTTS No which are being traded in the Luckenwalde v Viktoria Berlin match. These odds are being traded right now with BetfairSB. (posted at: 12:13, 1/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.63
19:00: BetfairSB's odds of 2.63 for BTTS No in the Al Ittihad v Al Shabab game is where the value lies in this one too. (posted at: 12:13, 1/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.38
19:30: We've seen some value for the 2.38 in the BTTS No price offered in the Servette v Young Boys match. The highlighted odds are currently available with BetfairSB. (posted at: 12:13, 1/4)
Result: Win
Bet: BTTS No
Odds Available: 2.15
23:00: We make the BTTS No bet a more likely outcome than the 46.5% chance suggested by BetfairSB. Deportes Iquique v Caracas is the fixture and the decimal odds of 2.15 is the bet. (posted at: 12:13, 1/4)
Result: Loss
Bet: The fourfold
Odds Available: 33.64
There's about 7hrs of action across these four legs and the fourfold pays 33.64 decimal odds (2.5 x 2.63 x 2.38 x 2.15) if they all win. Likely? No. Possible? Absolutely.
Result: Loss
____________________
- To review March's results, click here. After 222 days of David's Daily football previews, the return-on-investment by market looks like this:
____________________
